Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.147999 0.158726 0.169969 0.182657 0.196603 0.211496 0.228645
2025-08-17 0.125425 0.141023 0.158416 0.179361 0.204051 0.232420 0.267751
2025-08-24 0.110265 0.128407 0.149600 0.176437 0.209883 0.250680 0.304982
2025-08-31 0.099199 0.118721 0.142375 0.173564 0.214246 0.266433 0.340001
2025-09-07 0.092457 0.113279 0.139319 0.174897 0.223244 0.288191 0.384824
2025-09-14 0.084596 0.105556 0.132427 0.170194 0.223239 0.297252 0.412488
2025-09-21 0.077266 0.097860 0.124807 0.163582 0.219582 0.300299 0.431049
2025-09-28 0.071983 0.092448 0.119743 0.159904 0.219477 0.308097 0.457383
2025-10-05 0.069807 0.091036 0.119953 0.163574 0.230264 0.333124 0.514505
2025-10-12 0.067475 0.089209 0.119385 0.165948 0.239143 0.355926 0.571045
2025-10-19 0.064483 0.086243 0.116945 0.165245 0.243017 0.370829 0.615593
2025-10-26 0.061863 0.083640 0.114838 0.164826 0.247193 0.386512 0.663759
2025-11-02 0.058991 0.080585 0.111973 0.163166 0.249435 0.399552 0.710013
2025-11-09 0.055637 0.076667 0.107610 0.158843 0.246858 0.403825 0.739644
2025-11-16 0.052895 0.073522 0.104248 0.155900 0.246386 0.411888 0.778705
2025-11-23 0.050463 0.070719 0.101247 0.153317 0.246274 0.420530 0.820498
2025-11-30 0.049060 0.069408 0.100489 0.154409 0.252827 0.442798 0.897665
2025-12-07 0.046649 0.066420 0.096900 0.150393 0.249534 0.444841 0.926675
2025-12-14 0.044058 0.063047 0.092532 0.144754 0.242719 0.438877 0.934651
2025-12-21 0.042149 0.060673 0.089680 0.141613 0.240453 0.442263 0.967495
2025-12-28 0.041613 0.060449 0.090334 0.144746 0.250671 0.473743 1.082377
2026-01-04 0.040888 0.059885 0.090384 0.146770 0.258840 0.501741 1.194819
2026-01-11 0.039719 0.058549 0.089065 0.146171 0.261575 0.517590 1.275524